Singapore's Weather Science Research Programme

<h1>Singapore's Weather Science Research Programme</h1> <p>Singapore's Weather Science Research Programme (WSRP) is a S$25 million national research programme launched in March 2025 to improve understanding and prediction of tropical urban weather, including extreme events associated with climate change (<a href="https://www.nea.gov.sg/media/news/news/index/25-million-weather-science-research-programme-launched-to-enhance-singapore-s-weather-prediction-capabilities">National Environment Agency, 4 March 2025</a>). It is funded under the Research, Innovation and Enterprise 2025 Plan and is intended to build national weather-science capability through collaboration between the Meteorological Service Singapore, local Institutes of Higher Learning, and research institutes. The programme is about research and forecasting capability, not a household weather-insurance scheme or a guarantee that every forecast will be accurate.</p> <h2>What WSRP studies</h2> <p>The programme has four broad research areas. <strong>Observations</strong> improves the use of satellite, radar, and other data through advanced data-assimilation methods. <strong>Next-generation models</strong> develops high-resolution weather and climate models tailored to tropical regions. <strong>Regional reanalysis</strong> reconstructs roughly 50 years of high-resolution historical weather across Southeast Asia, creating a dataset for studying past extremes and training AI/ML systems. <strong>Post-processing</strong> develops methods to extract more useful, uncertainty-aware information from model forecasts (<a href="https://www.nea.gov.sg/programmes-grants/grants-and-awards/research-innovation-and-enterprise-funding-initiatives/weather-science-research-programme">National Environment Agency, accessed 19 August 2026</a>). AI and machine learning are cross-cutting methods across these areas rather than a separate fifth programme.</p> <h2>CAWRAS and the awarded projects</h2> <p>The Climate and Weather Research Alliance Singapore (CAWRAS) was established in September 2025 by NEA, A<em>STAR, NTU Singapore, and NUS as a national research platform to implement WSRP and nurture a local talent pipeline (<a href="https://www.nea.gov.sg/media/news/news/index/singapore-launches-research-alliance-to-strengthen-weather-and-climate-science-capabilities">National Environment Agency, 5 September 2025</a>). NEA's programme page lists ten awarded projects hosted across NUS, NTU, and A</em>STAR. They include radar-data assimilation, tropical weather prediction, urban-weather processes, atmospheric interactions across the Maritime Continent, AI foundation models for regional weather prediction, convective-hazard prediction, and blending forecasts from multiple models (<a href="https://www.nea.gov.sg/programmes-grants/grants-and-awards/research-innovation-and-enterprise-funding-initiatives/weather-science-research-programme">National Environment Agency, accessed 19 August 2026</a>). The list describes awarded research projects, not ten operational forecasting products already deployed to the public.</p> <h2>Relationship to other climate programmes</h2> <p>WSRP addresses short- to medium-term weather prediction and extreme-weather understanding. It is distinct from the National Sea Level Programme, which was completed in 2025 and focused on sea-level rise and variability, and from coastal-protection programmes that design and build physical defences. WSRP research can support resilience planning by improving information about heavy rain, strong winds, thunderstorms, and other tropical hazards, but a research result does not itself change a flood rule, create a seawall, or guarantee a particular warning for a specific location. Forecasts and public advisories remain operational products of the relevant meteorological authorities and should be checked for the date and location concerned.</p>

简介

新加坡天气科学研究计划

新加坡天气科学研究计划(WSRP)是一项国家研究计划,投入 S$25 百万,于 2025 年三月启动,旨在加深对热带城市天气的理解并提升预测能力,包括与气候变化相关的极端事件(国家环境局,2025 年 三月 4 日)。该计划由“研究、创新与企业 2025 计划”资助,旨在通过新加坡气象署、本地高等学府和研究机构之间的合作,建设国家天气科学能力。该计划关注研究和预测能力,并非家庭天气保险计划,也不保证每次预测都准确。

WSRP 的研究内容

该计划有四个广泛的研究领域。观测通过先进的数据同化方法改进卫星、雷达及其他数据的使用。下一代模型开发适用于热带地区的高分辨率天气和气候模型。区域再分析重建东南亚约 50 年的高分辨率历史天气,建立用于研究过往极端事件和训练 AI/ML 系统的数据集。后处理开发方法,从模型预测中提取更有用且能体现不确定性的信息(国家环境局,查阅于 2026 年 八月 19 日)。人工智能和机器学习是贯穿这些领域的方法,而非独立的第五个计划。

CAWRAS 与获资助项目

气候与天气研究联盟新加坡(CAWRAS)由 NEA、ASTAR、新加坡南洋理工大学和新加坡国立大学于 2025 年九月成立,是实施 WSRP 并培育本地人才梯队的国家研究平台(国家环境局,2025 年 九月 5 日)。NEA 的计划网页列出由新加坡国立大学、南洋理工大学和 ASTAR 承办的 十个获资助项目。项目包括雷达数据同化、热带天气预测、城市天气过程、海洋大陆区域的大气相互作用、用于区域天气预测的 AI 基础模型、对流灾害预测,以及融合多个模型的预测结果(国家环境局,查阅于 2026 年 八月 19 日)。该名单介绍的是获资助的研究项目,并非已向公众推出的 十种业务化预测产品。

与其他气候计划的关系

WSRP 关注短期至中期天气预测及对极端天气的理解。它不同于已于 2025 年完成、重点研究海平面上升和变化的国家海平面计划,也不同于设计和建设实体防护设施的海岸防护计划。WSRP 研究可通过改进有关暴雨、强风、雷暴和其他热带灾害的信息来支持韧性规划,但研究成果本身不会改变洪水规定、建造海堤,也不会保证针对特定地点发布某项预警。预测和公众预警信息 仍是相关气象主管部门的业务产品,应根据所涉日期和地点查询。